Baden-Württemberg state election 2026: the result
In the Baden-Württemberg state election on 8 March 2026, Grüne became the largest party with 30.2%, 0.5 points ahead of CDU (29.7%). Grüne and CDU have governed since then; how the alliance stands in the polls today is shown on the page with the current election polls.
- Biggest move since 2021
- AfD +9.1 · FDP −6.1 · CDU +5.6
- Failed to clear the threshold
- FDP (4.4%), Linke (4.4%), Freie Wähler (1.9%), BSW (1.4%)
- Government
- Grüne + CDU: 112 of 157 seats
- Polls one week before
- off by 2.4 points per party on average, Grüne underestimated by 5.5
- Turnout
- 69.6%
- Status
- official final result
Result of the 2026 state election
Turnout in the Baden-Württemberg state election on 8 March 2026 was 69.6%. The Landtag of Baden-Württemberg has 157 seats; a majority needs 79.
Shares in percent, change on the election of 14 Mar 2021 in points. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.
| Party | Votes 2026 (%) | 2021 (%) | Change | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | 30.2% | 32.6% | -2.4 | 56 |
| Christlich Demokratische Union | 29.7% | 24.1% | +5.6 | 56 |
| Alternative für Deutschland | 18.8% | 9.7% | +9.1 | 35 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 5.5% | 11.0% | -5.5 | 10 |
| Freie Demokratische Partei | 4.4% | 10.5% | -6.1 | – |
| Die Linke | 4.4% | 3.6% | +0.8 | – |
| Freie Wähler | 1.9% | 3.0% | -1.1 | – |
| Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht | 1.4% | – | new | – |
| Others | 3.7% | 5.5% | -1.8 | – |
Source: state returning officer, compiled via wahlrecht.de. Official seats, 157 in total including overhang and compensatory seats. JSON · CSV
Seat distribution in the Landtag of Baden-Württemberg after the 2026 result
157 seats by the official result, including overhang and compensatory seats. Electoral threshold of 5%.
- Grüne56
- CDU56
- AfD35
- SPD10
Which alliances had a majority after the 2026 election
All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority; the coalition actually formed is highlighted.
- Grüne + CDUGovernment112 of 157
- Grüne + AfD91 of 157
- CDU + AfD91 of 157
The polls in the last 30 days before the 2026 state election
5 polls between 23 Feb 2026 and 5 Mar 2026, each one available individually.
| Pollster | Published | Grüne | CDU | AfD | SPD | FDP | Linke | Freie Wähler | BSW | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5 Mar 2026 | 28 | 28 | 18 | 8 | 5.5 | 5.5 | – | – | ||
| INSA | 4 Mar 2026 | 24 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 6 | – | – | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 27 Feb 2026 | 25 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 6 | – | – | ||
| Infratest dimap | 26 Feb 2026 | 27 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5.5 | – | – | ||
| INSA | 23 Feb 2026 | 22 | 28 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 7 | – | 3 | ||
| Min – Max | 22–28 | 27–28 | 18–20 | 7–10 | 5.5–6 | 5.5–7 | – | – | |||
For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.
Last poll before the election: Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 5 Mar 2026
Who came closest before the 2026 election?
Deviation of each pollster's last poll from the result, by party in points. Ranked by mean absolute deviation.
| Pollster | Poll dated | Grüne | CDU | AfD | SPD | FDP | Linke | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result 8 Mar 2026 | 30.2% | 29.7% | 18.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5 Mar 2026 (3 days before) | -2.2 | -1.7 | -0.8 | +2.5 | +1.1 | +1.1 | 1.6 |
| Infratest dimap | 26 Feb 2026 (10 days before) | -3.2 | -1.7 | -0.8 | +1.5 | +1.6 | +1.1 | 1.7 |
| INSA | 4 Mar 2026 (4 days before) | -6.2 | -2.7 | +1.2 | +3.5 | +1.6 | +1.6 | 2.8 |
Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.