INSA poll of 11 October 2024 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- Schwäbische Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Sep 2024 to 4 Oct 2024
- Respondents
- 2,000
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU32.0%+1.0
- Grüne18.0%-1.0
- AfD18.0%+2.0
- SPD13.0%+2.0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- BSW6.0%-2.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Aug 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,000 people were surveyed from 26 Sep 2024 to 4 Oct 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Schwäbische Zeitung.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Aug 2024, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, BSW loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.0 points lower and AfD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Oct 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -2.0average 34.0
- AfD +2.0average 16.0
- FDP +1.0average 5.0
- BSW +1.0average 5.0
- Grüne ±0average 18.0
- SPD ±0average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU41
- Grüne23
- AfD23
- SPD17
- FDP8
- BSW8
- CDU + Grüne64 of 120
- CDU + AfD64 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP66 of 120
- CDU + SPD + BSW66 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + SPD63 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.