INSA poll of 7 December 2024 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- Schwäbische Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 25 Nov 2024 to 2 Dec 2024
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU34.0%+2.0
- Grüne20.0%+2.0
- AfD17.0%-1.0
- SPD11.0%-2.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- BSW6.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others3.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Oct 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 34.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 25 Nov 2024 to 2 Dec 2024, method Online, commissioned by Schwäbische Zeitung.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Oct 2024, CDU gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.0 points higher and SPD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Dec 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.0average 18.0
- SPD -2.0average 13.0
- AfD +1.0average 16.0
- FDP +1.0average 5.0
- BSW +1.0average 5.0
- CDU ±0average 34.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU43
- Grüne25
- AfD22
- SPD14
- FDP8
- BSW8
- CDU + Grüne68 of 120
- CDU + AfD65 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP65 of 120
- CDU + SPD + BSW65 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + SPD61 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.