INSA poll of 15 February 2025 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- Schwäbische Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 10 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU31.0%-3.0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- AfD18.0%+1.0
- SPD13.0%+2.0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- BSW5.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Dec 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 3 to 10 Feb 2025, method Online, commissioned by Schwäbische Zeitung.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Dec 2024, CDU loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 3.0 points higher and CDU 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +3.0average 15.0
- CDU -2.0average 33.0
- Grüne -2.0average 22.0
- FDP +1.0average 4.0
- BSW +1.0average 4.0
- SPD ±0average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU40
- Grüne26
- AfD23
- SPD17
- FDP7
- BSW7
- CDU + Grüne66 of 120
- CDU + AfD63 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + SPD66 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP64 of 120
- CDU + SPD + BSW64 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.