Single poll
INSA poll of 9 May 2025 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- State
- Baden-Württemberg
- Commissioned by
- Schwäbische Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Apr 2025 to 6 May 2025
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 29 Apr 2025 to 6 May 2025, method Online, commissioned by Schwäbische Zeitung.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Feb 2025, Linke gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 5.0 points lower and AfD 4.0 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 May 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -5.0average 22.0
- AfD +4.0average 15.0
- CDU -2.0average 33.0
- FDP +2.0average 4.0
- SPD -1.0average 13.0
- BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU40
- AfD25
- Grüne22
- SPD15
- Linke10
- FDP8
- CDU + AfD65 of 120
- CDU + Grüne62 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Linke65 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP63 of 120
- AfD + Grüne + SPD62 of 120
More
More polls
← INSA, 15 Feb 2025INSA, 16 Oct 2025 →Average of all pollsters: Baden-WürttembergSunday question Baden-Württemberg2025 federal election in Baden-WürttembergChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.