INSA poll of 15 August 2024 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- Schwäbische Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 12 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU31.0%+1.0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- AfD16.0%+1.0
- SPD11.0%-1.0
- BSW8.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others5.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Jun 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 5 to 12 Aug 2024, method Online, commissioned by Schwäbische Zeitung.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Jun 2024, CDU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 4.0 points higher and Grüne 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +4.0average 4.0
- Grüne -3.0average 22.0
- AfD +2.0average 14.0
- CDU -1.0average 32.0
- SPD ±0average 11.0
- FDP ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU41
- Grüne25
- AfD21
- SPD14
- BSW10
- FDP9
- CDU + Grüne66 of 120
- CDU + AfD62 of 120
- CDU + SPD + BSW65 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP64 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.