INSA poll of 13 June 2024 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 11 Jun 2024
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU30.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%-4.0
- AfD15.0%-1.0
- SPD12.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- BSW7.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others7.0%+4.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Mar 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Jun 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Mar 2024, Grüne loses 4.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 3.0 points lower and BSW 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -3.0average 22.0
- BSW +3.0average 4.0
- CDU -2.0average 32.0
- Linke +1.5average 1.5
- AfD +1.0average 14.0
- SPD +1.0average 11.0
- FDP ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU40
- Grüne26
- AfD20
- SPD16
- FDP9
- BSW9
- CDU + Grüne66 of 120
- CDU + AfD + SPD76 of 120
- CDU + AfD + FDP69 of 120
- CDU + AfD + BSW69 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP65 of 120
- CDU + SPD + BSW65 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + SPD62 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.