Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 March 2023 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 13 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Online
- CDU32.0%+9.0
- Grüne28.0%±0
- AfD13.0%-2.0
- SPD10.0%-5.0
- FDP6.5%-2.5
- Freie Wähler3.0%+0.5
- Linke2.0%±0
- Others5.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 Dec 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 28.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Mar 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 Dec 2022, CDU gains 9.0 points, SPD loses 5.0 points, FDP loses 2.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 5.0 points higher and SPD 4.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +5.0average 27.0
- SPD -4.0average 14.0
- FDP -3.0average 9.5
- Grüne +1.5average 26.5
- Linke -1.0average 3.0
- AfD ±0average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU43
- Grüne38
- AfD17
- SPD13
- FDP9
- CDU + Grüne81 of 120
- CDU + AfD + SPD73 of 120
- CDU + AfD + FDP69 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + SPD68 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP65 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + FDP64 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.