Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 December 2022 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 22 Dec 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- Grüne28.0%+0.5
- CDU23.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD15.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Freie Wähler2.5%-1.5
- Linke2.0%-1.0
- Others5.5%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 23 Oct 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU on 23.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 18 to 22 Dec 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 23 Oct 2022, Freie Wähler loses 1.5 points, CDU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 4.0 points lower and AfD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -4.0average 27.0
- AfD +2.0average 13.0
- Grüne +1.5average 26.5
- SPD +1.0average 14.0
- Linke -1.0average 3.0
- FDP -0.5average 9.5
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- Grüne37
- CDU31
- SPD20
- AfD20
- FDP12
- Grüne + CDU68 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + AfD77 of 120
- CDU + SPD + AfD71 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + FDP69 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + FDP69 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP63 of 120
- CDU + AfD + FDP63 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.