INSA poll of 3 April 2023 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 27 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- Grüne28.0%+2.0
- CDU27.0%-1.0
- SPD13.0%±0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Nov 2022.
In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU on 27.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 20 to 27 Mar 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Nov 2022, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -2.5average 29.5
- Grüne +1.0average 27.0
- Linke +1.0average 2.0
- FDP +0.7average 8.3
- SPD +0.5average 12.5
- AfD -0.5average 12.5
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- Grüne38
- CDU36
- SPD18
- AfD16
- FDP12
- Grüne + CDU74 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + AfD72 of 120
- CDU + SPD + AfD70 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + FDP68 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + FDP66 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP66 of 120
- CDU + AfD + FDP64 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.