INSA poll of 2 November 2022 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 31 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU28.0%+2.0
- Grüne26.0%-3.0
- SPD13.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%+3.0
- FDP10.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Jul 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 26.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 24 to 31 Oct 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Jul 2022, Grüne loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 3.0 points, CDU gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 4.0 points higher and SPD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +4.0average 24.0
- SPD -2.0average 15.0
- AfD -1.5average 14.5
- FDP +1.5average 8.5
- Grüne -1.3average 27.3
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU38
- Grüne35
- SPD17
- AfD17
- FDP13
- CDU + Grüne73 of 120
- CDU + SPD + AfD72 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + AfD69 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP68 of 120
- CDU + AfD + FDP68 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + FDP65 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + FDP65 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.