Single poll

INSA poll of 13 July 2022 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
4 to 11 Jul 2022
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • Grüne29.0%+4.0
  • CDU26.0%+3.0
  • SPD14.0%-5.0
  • FDP11.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • Others7.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Apr 2022.

In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Jul 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Apr 2022, SPD loses 5.0 points, Grüne gains 4.0 points, CDU gains 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +2.7average 23.3
  • FDP -1.0average 12.0
  • SPD -0.5average 14.5
  • Linke -0.5average 3.5
  • Grüne -0.3average 29.3
  • AfD ±0average 10.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

Grüne: 38 seatsCDU: 35 seatsSPD: 19 seatsFDP: 15 seatsAfD: 13 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • Grüne38
  • CDU35
  • SPD19
  • FDP15
  • AfD13
  • Grüne + CDU73 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP72 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD70 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + FDP69 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + AfD67 of 120
  • Grüne + FDP + AfD66 of 120
  • CDU + FDP + AfD63 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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