Single poll

INSA poll of 5 April 2022 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
28 Mar 2022 to 4 Apr 2022
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • Grüne25.0%+1.0
  • CDU23.0%+3.0
  • SPD19.0%-2.0
  • FDP11.0%-5.0
  • AfD10.0%+1.0
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • Others9.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Oct 2021.

In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU on 23.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 28 Mar 2022 to 4 Apr 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Oct 2021, FDP loses 5.0 points, CDU gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 2.5 points lower and Grüne 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -2.5average 13.5
  • Grüne -2.0average 27.0
  • SPD +2.0average 17.0
  • CDU -1.5average 24.5
  • AfD +1.0average 9.0
  • Linke +0.5average 2.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

Grüne: 34 seatsCDU: 31 seatsSPD: 26 seatsFDP: 15 seatsAfD: 14 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • Grüne34
  • CDU31
  • SPD26
  • FDP15
  • AfD14
  • Grüne + CDU65 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP75 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD74 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + FDP72 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + AfD71 of 120
  • Grüne + FDP + AfD63 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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