INSA poll of 12 October 2021 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 11 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- Grüne24.0%-8.0
- SPD21.0%+10.0
- CDU20.0%-3.0
- FDP16.0%+5.0
- AfD9.0%-4.0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Mar 2021.
In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 24.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Oct 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Mar 2021, SPD gains 10.0 points, Grüne loses 8.0 points, FDP gains 5.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 9.6 points higher and Grüne 9.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +9.6average 11.4
- Grüne -9.0average 33.0
- FDP +5.6average 10.4
- CDU -4.0average 24.0
- AfD -3.0average 12.0
- Linke -0.6average 3.6
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- Grüne32
- SPD28
- CDU27
- FDP21
- AfD12
- Grüne + SPD + CDU87 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + FDP81 of 120
- Grüne + CDU + FDP80 of 120
- SPD + CDU + FDP76 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + AfD72 of 120
- Grüne + CDU + AfD71 of 120
- SPD + CDU + AfD67 of 120
- Grüne + FDP + AfD65 of 120
- SPD + FDP + AfD61 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.