INSA poll of 12 March 2021 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 12 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 1,066
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- Grüne32.0%±0
- CDU23.0%-2.0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- SPD11.0%+1.0
- FDP11.0%±0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Mar 2021.
In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 32.0%, followed by CDU on 23.0%. 1,066 people were surveyed from 11 to 12 Mar 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Mar 2021, CDU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.0average 33.0
- CDU -1.0average 24.0
- AfD +1.0average 12.0
- FDP +0.6average 10.4
- SPD -0.4average 11.4
- Linke +0.4average 3.6
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- Grüne42
- CDU31
- AfD17
- SPD15
- FDP15
- Grüne + CDU73 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + SPD74 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + FDP74 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + FDP72 of 120
- CDU + AfD + SPD63 of 120
- CDU + AfD + FDP63 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP61 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.