INSA poll of 10 March 2021 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 7 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 1,558
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- Grüne32.0%+1.0
- CDU25.0%-3.0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- FDP11.0%+1.0
- SPD10.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler2.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Feb 2021.
In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 32.0%, followed by CDU on 25.0%. 1,558 people were surveyed from 1 to 7 Mar 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Feb 2021, CDU loses 3.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.4average 11.4
- Grüne -1.3average 33.3
- CDU +1.0average 24.0
- FDP +0.9average 10.1
- Linke -0.6average 3.6
- AfD ±0average 12.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- Grüne43
- CDU33
- AfD16
- FDP15
- SPD13
- Grüne + CDU76 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + FDP74 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + SPD72 of 120
- Grüne + FDP + SPD71 of 120
- CDU + AfD + FDP64 of 120
- CDU + AfD + SPD62 of 120
- CDU + FDP + SPD61 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.