Single poll

INSA poll of 13 February 2021 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
8 to 11 Feb 2021
Respondents
1,009
Method
Online
  • Grüne31.0%+1.0
  • CDU28.0%-2.0
  • SPD11.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%-1.0
  • FDP10.0%+2.0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Freie Wähler1.0%
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Jan 2021.

In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 31.0%, followed by CDU on 28.0%. 1,009 people were surveyed from 8 to 11 Feb 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Jan 2021, CDU loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 3.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -3.0average 34.0
  • FDP +1.0average 9.0
  • Linke +1.0average 3.0
  • CDU +0.5average 27.5
  • SPD +0.5average 10.5
  • AfD +0.5average 10.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

Grüne: 41 seatsCDU: 37 seatsSPD: 15 seatsAfD: 14 seatsFDP: 13 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • Grüne41
  • CDU37
  • SPD15
  • AfD14
  • FDP13
  • Grüne + CDU78 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD70 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP69 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + FDP68 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + AfD66 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + FDP65 of 120
  • CDU + AfD + FDP64 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.