INSA poll of 13 January 2021 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 11 Jan 2021
- Respondents
- 1,010
- Method
- Online
- Grüne30.0%+1.0
- CDU30.0%-1.0
- SPD12.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Nov 2020.
In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 30.0%. 1,010 people were surveyed from 5 to 11 Jan 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Nov 2020, Grüne gains 1.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 5.0 points lower and SPD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jan 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -5.0average 35.0
- SPD +2.0average 10.0
- AfD +1.0average 11.0
- FDP +1.0average 7.0
- Linke +1.0average 3.0
- CDU ±0average 30.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- Grüne39
- CDU39
- SPD16
- AfD16
- FDP10
- Grüne + CDU78 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + AfD71 of 120
- CDU + SPD + AfD71 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + FDP65 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + FDP65 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP65 of 120
- CDU + AfD + FDP65 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.