Single poll
INSA poll of 29 January 2026 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- State
- Baden-Württemberg
- Commissioned by
- NIUS
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 27 Jan 2026
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 20 to 27 Jan 2026, method Online, commissioned by NIUS.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Oct 2025, Grüne gains 4.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.0 points lower and SPD 2.0 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Jan 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.0average 23.0
- SPD +2.0average 8.0
- CDU ±0average 29.0
- AfD ±0average 20.0
- Linke ±0average 7.0
- FDP ±0average 5.0
- BSW ±0average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU38
- Grüne27
- AfD26
- SPD13
- Linke9
- FDP7
- CDU + Grüne65 of 120
- CDU + AfD64 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + SPD66 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + Linke62 of 120
More
More polls
← INSA, 16 Oct 2025INSA, 23 Feb 2026 →Average of all pollsters: Baden-WürttembergSunday question Baden-Württemberg2025 federal election in Baden-WürttembergChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.