Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 18 October 2018 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 17 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 1,035
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU26.0%-3.0
- Grüne22.0%+4.0
- SPD20.0%-3.0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%+2.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others4.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 3 Oct 2018.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,035 people were surveyed from 15 to 17 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 3 Oct 2018, Grüne gains 4.0 points, CDU loses 3.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 4.6 points higher and SPD 3.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +4.6average 17.4
- SPD -3.3average 23.3
- CDU -1.8average 27.8
- FDP +0.8average 7.2
- AfD -0.6average 12.6
- Linke +0.2average 7.8
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU30
- Grüne25
- SPD23
- AfD14
- FDP9
- Linke9
- CDU + Grüne + SPD78 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + AfD69 of 110
- CDU + SPD + AfD67 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + FDP64 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + Linke64 of 110
- CDU + SPD + FDP62 of 110
- CDU + SPD + Linke62 of 110
- Grüne + SPD + AfD62 of 110
- Grüne + SPD + FDP57 of 110
- Grüne + SPD + Linke57 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.