Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 3 October 2018 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- FAZ / Hitradio FFH
- Fieldwork period
- 24 Sep 2018 to 1 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 1,038
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU29.0%-3.0
- SPD23.0%-2.0
- Grüne18.0%+3.0
- AfD13.0%+2.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others3.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 Sep 2018.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,038 people were surveyed from 24 Sep 2018 to 1 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by FAZ / Hitradio FFH.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 Sep 2018, CDU loses 3.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.4 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.4average 15.6
- FDP -1.2average 7.2
- CDU +0.5average 28.5
- AfD -0.5average 13.5
- SPD -0.3average 23.3
- Linke -0.3average 8.3
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU33
- SPD26
- Grüne20
- AfD15
- Linke9
- FDP7
- CDU + SPD59 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + AfD68 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + Linke62 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD61 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + FDP60 of 110
- CDU + AfD + Linke57 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.