Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 September 2018 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 19 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 1,039
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU32.0%+1.0
- SPD25.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%+2.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-2.0
- Others3.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 Jun 2018.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,039 people were surveyed from 17 to 19 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 Jun 2018, Grüne gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD 2.9 points lower and SPD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.9average 13.9
- SPD +1.7average 23.3
- CDU +1.6average 30.4
- Grüne +1.2average 13.8
- FDP -1.0average 7.0
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU36
- SPD28
- Grüne17
- AfD13
- Linke9
- FDP7
- CDU + SPD64 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + AfD66 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + Linke62 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + FDP60 of 110
- CDU + AfD + Linke58 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD58 of 110
- CDU + AfD + FDP56 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.