Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 June 2018 for the Hesse state election

Commissioned by
FAZ / Hitradio FFH
Fieldwork period
4 to 11 Jun 2018
Respondents
1,049
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU31.0%±0
  • SPD25.0%-1.0
  • Grüne13.0%±0
  • AfD11.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 22 Mar 2018.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,049 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by FAZ / Hitradio FFH.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 22 Mar 2018, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -1.3average 32.3
  • SPD +1.0average 24.0
  • Grüne -0.3average 13.3
  • FDP +0.3average 7.7
  • Linke +0.3average 7.7
  • AfD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 35 seatsSPD: 29 seatsGrüne: 15 seatsAfD: 13 seatsFDP: 9 seatsLinke: 9 seatsMajority from 56110of 110 seats
  • CDU35
  • SPD29
  • Grüne15
  • AfD13
  • FDP9
  • Linke9
  • CDU + SPD64 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD63 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP59 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke59 of 110
  • CDU + AfD + FDP57 of 110
  • CDU + AfD + Linke57 of 110
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD57 of 110
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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