Single poll

INSA poll of 29 April 2026 for the Hesse state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
14 to 21 Apr 2026
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • CDU30.0%-1.0
  • AfD22.0%+1.0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • Grüne13.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%+1.0
  • Freie Wähler4.0%+1.0
  • FDP3.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Mar 2026.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 14 to 21 Apr 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Mar 2026, CDU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.0 points lower and AfD 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Apr 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -2.0average 32.0
  • AfD +2.0average 20.0
  • SPD -1.0average 16.0
  • Grüne -1.0average 14.0
  • Linke +1.0average 6.0
  • FDP ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 38 seatsAfD: 28 seatsSPD: 19 seatsGrüne: 16 seatsLinke: 9 seatsMajority from 56110of 110 seats
  • CDU38
  • AfD28
  • SPD19
  • Grüne16
  • Linke9
  • CDU + AfD66 of 110
  • CDU + SPD57 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke63 of 110
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne63 of 110
  • AfD + SPD + Linke56 of 110
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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