Single poll
INSA poll of 18 March 2026 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 12 Mar 2026
- Respondents
- 1,001
- Method
- Online
- CDU31.0%-1.0
- AfD21.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%+1.0
- Linke6.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
31.0%
-1.0
CDU
21.0%
+1.0
AfD
15.0%
±0
SPD
13.0%
+1.0
Grüne
6.0%
-1.0
Linke
4.0%
±0
FDP
3.0%
±0
Freie Wähler
3.0%
±0
BSW
4.0%
±0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Oct 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 3 to 12 Mar 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Oct 2025, CDU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -1.0average 32.0
- AfD +1.0average 20.0
- SPD -1.0average 16.0
- Grüne -1.0average 14.0
- FDP +1.0average 3.0
- Linke ±0average 6.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU40
- AfD27
- SPD19
- Grüne16
- Linke8
- CDU + AfD67 of 110
- CDU + SPD59 of 110
- CDU + Grüne56 of 110
- AfD + SPD + Grüne62 of 110
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.