Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 15 September 2023 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 13 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 1,200
- Method
- Online
- CDU30.0%+1.0
- SPD20.0%±0
- AfD17.5%-0.5
- Grüne17.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%-0.5
- Freie Wähler4.0%-0.5
- Linke2.0%±0
- Others4.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 30 Aug 2023.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,200 people were surveyed from 9 to 13 Sep 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 30 Aug 2023, CDU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 1.8 points lower and AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.8average 18.8
- AfD +1.5average 16.0
- SPD +1.2average 18.8
- Linke -1.0average 3.0
- FDP -0.8average 5.8
- Freie Wähler +0.5average 3.5
- CDU +0.2average 29.8
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU37
- SPD25
- Grüne21
- AfD21
- FDP6
- CDU + SPD62 of 110
- CDU + Grüne58 of 110
- CDU + AfD58 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD67 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.