Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 26 September 2023 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 26 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU30.5%+0.5
- Grüne18.0%+1.0
- AfD17.5%±0
- SPD16.0%-4.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Freie Wähler4.0%±0
- Linke2.5%+0.5
- Others6.5%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 15 Sep 2023.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 30.5%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 22 to 26 Sep 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 15 Sep 2023, SPD loses 4.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 2.8 points lower and AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.8average 18.8
- AfD +1.5average 16.0
- Grüne -0.8average 18.8
- FDP -0.8average 5.8
- CDU +0.7average 29.8
- Freie Wähler +0.5average 3.5
- Linke -0.5average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU39
- Grüne23
- AfD22
- SPD20
- FDP6
- CDU + Grüne62 of 110
- CDU + AfD61 of 110
- CDU + SPD59 of 110
- Grüne + AfD + SPD65 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.