Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 30 August 2023 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 29 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU29.0%+3.5
- SPD20.0%±0
- AfD18.0%-2.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- FDP5.5%+0.5
- Freie Wähler4.5%-1.0
- Linke2.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 23 Jul 2023.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 25 to 29 Aug 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 23 Jul 2023, CDU gains 3.5 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, Freie Wähler loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 3.7 points higher and Grüne 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +3.7average 14.3
- Grüne -2.3average 18.3
- Freie Wähler +1.5average 3.0
- Linke -1.3average 3.3
- FDP -0.8average 6.3
- CDU -0.7average 29.7
- SPD -0.7average 20.7
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU36
- SPD25
- AfD22
- Grüne20
- FDP7
- CDU + SPD61 of 110
- CDU + AfD58 of 110
- CDU + Grüne56 of 110
- SPD + AfD + Grüne67 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.