INSA poll of 16 June 2023 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 12 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU29.0%-1.0
- SPD22.0%+1.0
- Grüne18.0%-2.0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others4.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 May 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 5 to 12 Jun 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 May 2023, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 1.5 points lower and Linke 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -1.5average 30.5
- Linke +1.5average 2.5
- Grüne -1.0average 19.0
- AfD +1.0average 12.0
- FDP +1.0average 6.0
- SPD +0.2average 21.8
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU36
- SPD27
- Grüne22
- AfD16
- FDP9
- CDU + SPD63 of 110
- CDU + Grüne58 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD65 of 110
- CDU + AfD + FDP61 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + FDP58 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.