INSA poll of 13 September 2023 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 11 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU29.0%±0
- SPD20.0%-2.0
- Grüne19.0%+1.0
- AfD15.0%+2.0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler4.0%+1.0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Jun 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Sep 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Jun 2023, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.7average 16.7
- SPD +1.0average 19.0
- Grüne +0.7average 18.3
- Freie Wähler -0.5average 4.5
- CDU -0.3average 29.3
- Linke +0.3average 2.7
- FDP +0.2average 5.8
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU36
- SPD25
- Grüne23
- AfD19
- FDP7
- CDU + SPD61 of 110
- CDU + Grüne59 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD67 of 110
- CDU + AfD + FDP62 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.