INSA poll of 4 May 2023 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 24 Apr 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU30.0%+6.0
- SPD21.0%-3.0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%+2.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others3.0%-4.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Apr 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 17 to 24 Apr 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Apr 2022, CDU gains 6.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.5average 2.5
- SPD -1.0average 22.0
- FDP +1.0average 6.0
- AfD +0.2average 11.8
- CDU ±0average 30.0
- Grüne ±0average 20.0
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU37
- SPD26
- Grüne24
- AfD15
- FDP8
- CDU + SPD63 of 110
- CDU + Grüne61 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD65 of 110
- CDU + AfD + FDP60 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + FDP58 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.