Single poll

INSA poll of 12 April 2022 for the Hesse state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
4 to 11 Apr 2022
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • SPD24.0%-2.0
  • CDU24.0%+4.0
  • Grüne19.0%-1.0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • FDP8.0%-3.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Freie Wähler3.0%±0
  • Others7.0%+3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Oct 2021.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 24.0%, followed by CDU on 24.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Apr 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Oct 2021, CDU gains 4.0 points, FDP loses 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 3.0 points lower and AfD 3.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -3.0average 22.0
  • AfD +3.0average 7.0
  • CDU -2.0average 26.0
  • FDP -0.5average 8.5
  • Linke +0.5average 4.5
  • Freie Wähler +0.5average 2.5
  • SPD ±0average 24.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 30 seatsCDU: 29 seatsGrüne: 23 seatsAfD: 12 seatsFDP: 10 seatsLinke: 6 seatsMajority from 56110of 110 seats
  • SPD30
  • CDU29
  • Grüne23
  • AfD12
  • FDP10
  • Linke6
  • SPD + CDU59 of 110
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD65 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD64 of 110
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP63 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP62 of 110
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke59 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke58 of 110
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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