INSA poll of 22 October 2021 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 19 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 1,253
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD26.0%+8.0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- CDU20.0%-10.0
- FDP11.0%+5.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke5.0%-4.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others4.0%-3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Nov 2020.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,253 people were surveyed from 11 to 19 Oct 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Nov 2020, CDU loses 10.0 points, SPD gains 8.0 points, FDP gains 5.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 12.0 points lower and SPD 9.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -12.0average 32.0
- SPD +9.0average 17.0
- FDP +4.0average 7.0
- Grüne -1.0average 21.0
- AfD +1.0average 10.0
- Linke -1.0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD31
- Grüne24
- CDU23
- FDP13
- AfD13
- Linke6
- SPD + Grüne + CDU78 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + FDP68 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD68 of 110
- SPD + CDU + FDP67 of 110
- SPD + CDU + AfD67 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + Linke61 of 110
- SPD + CDU + Linke60 of 110
- Grüne + CDU + FDP60 of 110
- Grüne + CDU + AfD60 of 110
- SPD + FDP + AfD57 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.