INSA poll of 3 November 2020 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 29 Oct 2020
- Respondents
- 1,018
- Method
- Online
- CDU30.0%+4.0
- Grüne19.0%-4.0
- SPD18.0%+2.0
- AfD11.0%-2.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-2.0
- Others7.0%+5.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Dec 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,018 people were surveyed from 22 to 29 Oct 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Dec 2019, CDU gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 4.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 6.0 points lower and Linke 5.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Nov 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -6.0average 36.0
- Linke +5.0average 4.0
- Grüne -1.0average 20.0
- AfD +1.0average 10.0
- FDP -1.0average 7.0
- SPD ±0average 18.0
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU36
- Grüne22
- SPD21
- AfD13
- Linke11
- FDP7
- CDU + Grüne58 of 110
- CDU + SPD57 of 110
- CDU + AfD + Linke60 of 110
- CDU + AfD + FDP56 of 110
- Grüne + SPD + AfD56 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.