Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 8 March 2023 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 7 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Online
- CDU29.0%+3.0
- SPD24.0%-1.0
- Grüne21.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%-1.5
- Freie Wähler3.0%+0.5
- Linke1.5%±0
- Others4.5%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 6 Feb 2023.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 3 to 7 Mar 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 6 Feb 2023, CDU gains 3.0 points, FDP loses 1.5 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 2.0 points higher and SPD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +2.0average 27.0
- SPD +2.0average 22.0
- Linke -1.5average 3.0
- Grüne -1.0average 22.0
- AfD -1.0average 12.0
- FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU35
- SPD29
- Grüne26
- AfD13
- FDP7
- CDU + SPD64 of 110
- CDU + Grüne61 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD68 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + FDP62 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.