Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 6 February 2023 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 6 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 1,521
- Method
- Online
- CDU26.0%-2.0
- SPD25.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP7.5%+0.5
- Freie Wähler2.5%±0
- Linke1.5%±0
- Others5.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 Dec 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,521 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 Feb 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 Dec 2022, CDU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 3.0 points higher and Grüne 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.0average 22.0
- Grüne -2.0average 22.0
- FDP +1.5average 6.0
- Linke -1.5average 3.0
- CDU -1.0average 27.0
- AfD ±0average 12.0
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU32
- SPD30
- Grüne24
- AfD15
- FDP9
- CDU + SPD62 of 110
- CDU + Grüne56 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD69 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + FDP63 of 110
- CDU + AfD + FDP56 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.