Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 December 2022 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 27 Dec 2022
- Respondents
- 1,150
- Method
- Online
- CDU28.0%-2.0
- SPD25.0%+3.0
- Grüne19.0%-0.5
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP7.0%+0.5
- Freie Wähler2.5%-0.5
- Linke1.5%-0.5
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 27 Nov 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,150 people were surveyed from 23 to 27 Dec 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 27 Nov 2022, SPD gains 3.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 3.0 points higher and Grüne 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.0average 22.0
- Grüne -3.0average 22.0
- Linke -1.5average 3.0
- CDU +1.0average 27.0
- FDP +1.0average 6.0
- AfD ±0average 12.0
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU34
- SPD30
- Grüne23
- AfD15
- FDP8
- CDU + SPD64 of 110
- CDU + Grüne57 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD68 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + FDP61 of 110
- CDU + AfD + FDP57 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.