Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 27 November 2022 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 27 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 1,100
- Method
- Online
- CDU30.0%+1.5
- SPD22.0%+4.0
- Grüne19.5%-1.5
- AfD12.0%-1.5
- FDP6.5%-0.5
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Linke2.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 Oct 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,100 people were surveyed from 25 to 27 Nov 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 Oct 2022, SPD gains 4.0 points, CDU gains 1.5 points, Grüne loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 3.0 points higher and Grüne 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +3.0average 27.0
- Grüne -2.5average 22.0
- Linke -1.0average 3.0
- FDP +0.5average 6.0
- SPD ±0average 22.0
- AfD ±0average 12.0
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU36
- SPD27
- Grüne24
- AfD15
- FDP8
- CDU + SPD63 of 110
- CDU + Grüne60 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD66 of 110
- CDU + AfD + FDP59 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + FDP59 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.