Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 October 2022 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 28 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,082
- Method
- Online
- CDU28.5%-2.0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- SPD18.0%+3.0
- AfD13.5%-1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 30 Sep 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 28.5%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,082 people were surveyed from 24 to 28 Oct 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 30 Sep 2022, SPD gains 3.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 4.0 points lower and CDU 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -4.0average 22.0
- CDU +1.5average 27.0
- AfD +1.5average 12.0
- Grüne -1.0average 22.0
- FDP +1.0average 6.0
- Linke ±0average 3.0
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU36
- Grüne26
- SPD22
- AfD17
- FDP9
- CDU + Grüne62 of 110
- CDU + SPD58 of 110
- Grüne + SPD + AfD65 of 110
- CDU + AfD + FDP62 of 110
- Grüne + SPD + FDP57 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.