Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 16 April 2023 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 14 Apr 2023
- Respondents
- 1,398
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU28.0%-1.0
- SPD24.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%-3.0
- AfD12.5%+1.5
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Linke2.0%+0.5
- Others5.5%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 8 Mar 2023.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,398 people were surveyed from 5 to 14 Apr 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 8 Mar 2023, Grüne loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 1.5 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 4.0 points lower and SPD 4.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -4.0average 32.0
- SPD +4.0average 20.0
- Grüne -4.0average 22.0
- FDP +2.0average 5.0
- AfD +1.5average 11.0
- Linke -1.0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU34
- SPD30
- Grüne22
- AfD15
- FDP9
- CDU + SPD64 of 110
- CDU + Grüne56 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD67 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + FDP61 of 110
- CDU + AfD + FDP58 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.