Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 May 2023 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 22 May 2023
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Online
- CDU29.0%+1.0
- SPD23.5%-0.5
- Grüne16.0%-2.0
- AfD13.0%+0.5
- FDP7.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Linke2.0%±0
- Others6.5%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 16 Apr 2023.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 23.5%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 17 to 22 May 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 16 Apr 2023, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 5.0 points lower and SPD 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -5.0average 21.0
- SPD +3.0average 20.5
- CDU -2.0average 31.0
- AfD +1.5average 11.5
- Linke -1.5average 3.5
- FDP +1.0average 6.0
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU36
- SPD29
- Grüne20
- AfD16
- FDP9
- CDU + SPD65 of 110
- CDU + Grüne56 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD65 of 110
- CDU + AfD + FDP61 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + FDP58 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.