Civey poll of 17 August 2023 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 16 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 2,810
- Method
- Online
- CDU29.0%+2.0
- SPD20.0%-2.0
- Grüne19.0%+0.5
- AfD15.0%+2.0
- FDP6.0%-1.5
- Linke3.0%-5.0
- Others8.0%+4.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 25 Oct 2018.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,810 people were surveyed from 9 to 16 Aug 2023, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 25 Oct 2018, Linke loses 5.0 points, CDU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 2.0 points higher and CDU 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.0average 17.0
- CDU +1.7average 27.3
- AfD -1.5average 16.5
- SPD -1.0average 21.0
- FDP ±0average 6.0
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU36
- SPD25
- Grüne23
- AfD19
- FDP7
- CDU + SPD61 of 110
- CDU + Grüne59 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD67 of 110
- CDU + AfD + FDP62 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.