Civey poll of 25 October 2018 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- Spiegel Online / Hessische Niedersächsische Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 24 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 4,467
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU27.0%-1.5
- SPD22.0%-2.9
- Grüne18.5%+0.3
- AfD13.0%+1.2
- Linke8.0%+0.5
- FDP7.5%+1.9
- Others4.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 12 Oct 2018.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 4,467 people were surveyed from 18 to 24 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Spiegel Online / Hessische Niedersächsische Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 12 Oct 2018, SPD loses 2.9 points, FDP gains 1.9 points, CDU loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.8average 20.3
- SPD +1.3average 20.7
- AfD +0.7average 12.3
- FDP -0.5average 8.0
- CDU +0.3average 26.7
- Linke ±0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU31
- SPD25
- Grüne21
- AfD15
- FDP9
- Linke9
- CDU + SPD56 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + AfD67 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + FDP61 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + Linke61 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD61 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.