Single poll
Civey poll of 12 October 2018 for the Hesse state election
- State
- Hesse
- Commissioned by
- Hessische Niedersächsische Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 12 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 4,549
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 28.5%, followed by SPD on 24.9%. 4,549 people were surveyed from 2 to 12 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Hessische Niedersächsische Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 28 Sep 2018, Grüne gains 2.4 points, FDP loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.9 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 1.9 points higher and AfD 1.9 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.9average 16.3
- AfD -1.9average 13.7
- SPD +1.6average 23.3
- FDP -1.1average 6.7
- Linke -0.5average 8.0
- CDU -0.2average 28.7
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU33
- SPD28
- Grüne21
- AfD13
- Linke9
- FDP6
- CDU + SPD61 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + AfD67 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + Linke63 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD62 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + FDP60 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + Linke58 of 110
More
More polls
← Civey, 28 Sep 2018Civey, 25 Oct 2018 →Average of all pollsters: HesseSunday question Hesse2025 federal election in HesseChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.