Civey poll of 28 September 2018 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- Spiegel Online / Hessische Niedersächsische Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 27 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 4,509
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU28.6%-2.5
- SPD23.0%-0.9
- Grüne15.8%+2.4
- AfD12.4%-0.3
- Linke8.8%+0.9
- FDP7.6%+0.5
- Others3.8%-0.1
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 31 Aug 2018.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 28.6%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 4,509 people were surveyed from 19 to 27 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Spiegel Online / Hessische Niedersächsische Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 31 Aug 2018, CDU loses 2.5 points, Grüne gains 2.4 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -1.1average 29.7
- SPD -1.0average 24.0
- FDP +0.9average 6.7
- Linke +0.8average 8.0
- AfD -0.6average 13.0
- Grüne +0.5average 15.3
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU33
- SPD26
- Grüne18
- AfD14
- Linke10
- FDP9
- CDU + SPD59 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + AfD65 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + Linke61 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + FDP60 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD58 of 110
- CDU + AfD + Linke57 of 110
- CDU + AfD + FDP56 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.