Single poll
Civey poll of 31 August 2018 for the Hesse state election
- State
- Hesse
- Commissioned by
- Spiegel Online / Hessische Niedersächsische Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 30 Aug 2018
- Respondents
- 4,532
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 31.1%, followed by SPD on 23.9%. 4,532 people were surveyed from 14 to 30 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Spiegel Online / Hessische Niedersächsische Allgemeine.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -0.9average 32.0
- AfD +0.9average 11.8
- SPD +0.4average 23.5
- Linke +0.4average 7.5
- FDP -0.4average 7.5
- Grüne -0.1average 13.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU36
- SPD27
- Grüne15
- AfD15
- Linke9
- FDP8
- CDU + SPD63 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + AfD66 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + Linke60 of 110
- CDU + AfD + Linke60 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + FDP59 of 110
- CDU + AfD + FDP59 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD57 of 110
More
More polls
Civey, 28 Sep 2018 →Average of all pollsters: HesseSunday question Hesse2025 federal election in HesseChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.