Civey poll of 31 August 2023 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 31 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 3,002
- Method
- Online
- CDU29.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%-2.0
- AfD16.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 17 Aug 2023.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 3,002 people were surveyed from 24 to 31 Aug 2023, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 17 Aug 2023, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 2.7 points higher and SPD 2.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.7average 17.3
- SPD -2.7average 20.7
- CDU -0.7average 29.7
- AfD +0.7average 15.3
- FDP -0.2average 6.2
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU36
- Grüne25
- SPD22
- AfD20
- FDP7
- CDU + Grüne61 of 110
- CDU + SPD58 of 110
- CDU + AfD56 of 110
- Grüne + SPD + AfD67 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.