Civey poll of 1 October 2023 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 24 Sep 2023 to 1 Oct 2023
- Respondents
- 2,900
- Method
- Online
- CDU31.0%+2.0
- Grüne18.0%-2.0
- SPD16.0%-2.0
- AfD15.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- Others10.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 31 Aug 2023.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,900 people were surveyed from 24 Sep 2023 to 1 Oct 2023, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 31 Aug 2023, CDU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Oct 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.3average 17.3
- AfD -0.9average 15.9
- Linke +0.9average 3.1
- FDP +0.5average 5.5
- CDU +0.4average 30.6
- Grüne +0.2average 17.8
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU40
- Grüne23
- SPD20
- AfD19
- FDP8
- CDU + Grüne63 of 110
- CDU + SPD60 of 110
- CDU + AfD59 of 110
- Grüne + SPD + AfD62 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.