INSA poll of 12 April 2024 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 9 Apr 2024
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU33.0%+2.0
- AfD18.0%+2.0
- SPD14.0%-2.0
- Grüne12.0%-4.0
- BSW6.0%
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler4.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Oct 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 33.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 2 to 9 Apr 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Oct 2023, Grüne loses 4.0 points, CDU gains 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 5.1 points lower and AfD 2.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -5.1average 17.1
- AfD +2.6average 15.4
- SPD -2.1average 16.1
- FDP -1.5average 5.5
- CDU +0.9average 32.1
- Linke -0.4average 3.4
- Freie Wähler -0.2average 4.2
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU44
- AfD24
- SPD18
- Grüne16
- BSW8
- CDU + AfD68 of 110
- CDU + SPD62 of 110
- CDU + Grüne60 of 110
- AfD + SPD + Grüne58 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.