INSA poll of 13 August 2024 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 12 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU32.0%-1.0
- AfD18.0%±0
- SPD13.0%-1.0
- Grüne13.0%+1.0
- BSW8.0%+2.0
- FDP5.0%+1.0
- Freie Wähler4.0%±0
- Linke2.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Apr 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 5 to 12 Aug 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Apr 2024, BSW gains 2.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 5.0 points lower and BSW 5.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -5.0average 37.0
- BSW +5.0average 3.0
- AfD +2.0average 16.0
- SPD -2.0average 15.0
- Grüne -2.0average 15.0
- FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU40
- AfD22
- SPD16
- Grüne16
- BSW10
- FDP6
- CDU + AfD62 of 110
- CDU + SPD56 of 110
- CDU + Grüne56 of 110
- CDU + BSW + FDP56 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.